Wednesday, June 25, 2014

أولئك الذين أفسدوا خط انبوب الغاز ساوث ستريم بقلم مانيلو دينوتشي, توماسو دي فرانشيسكو

أولئك الذين أفسدوا خط انبوب الغاز ساوث ستريم

بقلم مانيلو دينوتشي, توماسو دي فرانشيسكو
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أعلنت الحكومة البلغارية الاحد انها أوقفت بناء خط أنابيب ساوث ستريم، الخط الذي يتوقع أن ينقل الغاز الروسي الى الاتحاد الأوروبي دون المرور على أوكرانيا. "لقد أمرت بوقف الأشغال –حسب ما أعلم رئيس الوزراء بلامن أوريسارسكي- سنقرر تطورات الوضع بعد مشاورات سنجريها مع بروكسل". في الأيام الأخيرة، أعلن رئيس المفوضية الأوروبية، خوسي مانويل باروسو، افتتاح إجراء أروبي ضد بلغاريا لمخالفة مزعومة في مناقصات ساوث ستريم.
بالكاد قبل ثلاثة أيام، في 5 جوان، أكدت مديرية الحزب الاشتراكي البلغاري، الذي يدعم حكومة اوريسارسكي، على أن القسم البلغاري من خط الأنابيب قد أنجز رغم طلب من بروكسل بوقف المشروع. وقد أشار نائب رئيس اللجنة البرلمانية للطاقة، كويومجييف قائلا: "بالنسبة إلينا فإنه ذو أهمية حيوية". وصرح رئيس غرفة المصنعين أن "ساوث ستريم هو نفس من الأوكسجين بالنسبة الى الشركات البلغارية".
ماذا حدث؟ لقد ولد المشروع عندما وقعت -في نوفمبر 2006 (خلال حكومة برودي الثانية)- شركة غازبروم الروسية وإيني الايطالية اتفاقية شراكة استراتيجية. في جوان 2007 وقع وزير التنمية الاقتصادية بييرلويجي بيرساني مع وزير الصناعة والطاقة الروسي مذكرة تفاهم لتنفيذ ساوث ستريم. ووفقا للمشروع، فإن خط الأنابيب سيتألف من قسم تحت الماء بطول930 كلم عبر البحر الأسود (في المياه الإقليمية الروسية، البلغارية، والتركية) وقسم أرضي عبر بلغاريا وصربيا والمجر وسلوفينيا وإيطاليا حتى تارفيزيو (مقاطعة أوديني).
بين 2008 إلى 2011 تم توقيع جميع الاتفاقات الحكومية مع البلدان التي يجتازها ساوث ستريم. في عام 2012 كذلك دخلت كل من شركتي "وينترشال" الألمانية والفرنسية "إي.دي.أف" في الشركة التي تمول تنفيذ القسم التحت-مائي بنسبة 15بالمئة لكل منهما، في حين أن إيني (التي تنازلت عن 30بالمئة) تملك 20 بالمئة، وشركة غازبروم 50 بالمئة من الأسهم. وقد بدأ بناء خط الأنابيب في ديسمبر 2012 مع هدف إطلاق التزويد بالغاز بحلول 2015. في مارس عام 2014، ناقصت سايبم (ايني) على عقد بقيمة ملياري اورو لبناء الخط الأول من خط الأنابيب التحت-ارضي.
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في الوقت نفسه، اندلعت الأزمة الأوكرانية وفرضت الولايات المتحدة ضغوطا على حلفائها الاوروبيين لتقليص وارداتهم من الغاز والنفط الروسي، التي تشكل قرابة ثلث واردات الطاقة في الاتحاد الأوروبي. هدف الولايات المتحدة الاول (كما كتبنا يوم 26 مارس [1]): منع إنجاز ساوث ستريم. لذلك، تمارس واشنطن ضغوطا متزايدة على الحكومة البلغارية. في البدء انتقدتها لأنها عهدت ببناء القسم البلغاري من خط الأنابيب إلى الكونسورتيوم الذي يضم شركة روسية "سترويترانسغاز"، تخضع لعقوبات أمريكية.
وفي لهجة ابتزاز، صرحت السفيرة الأمريكية في صوفيا، مارسي ريس: "نحذر رجال الأعمال البلغار: عليهم تجنب العمل مع شركات تخضع لعقوبات من الولايات المتحدة". وحانت اللحظة الحاسمة الأحد الماضي في صوفيا، عندما التقى السيناتور الأمريكي جون ماكين مصحوبا بـ"كريس ميرفي" و"رون جونسون" رئيس الوزراء البلغاري ناقلا إليه أوامر واشنطن. وعلى الفور أعلن بلامين اوريسارسكي تعطيل أشغال ساوث ستريم.
قضية رمزية: مشروع ذو أهمية اقتصادية كبيرة بالنسبة إلى الاتحاد الأوروبي تمت عرقلته، ليس فقط على يد واشنطن ولكن أيضا من قبل بروكسل، بل بيد رئيس المفوضية الأوروبية. نود أن نعلم ما الذي تفكر الحكومة رينزي بشأنه، بالنظر إلى أن إيطاليا سوف تخسر -كما حذر باولو سكاروني، الرجل الأول في "إيني"- عقودا بمليارات الأورو إذا تم تدمير مشروع ساوث ستريم.

Friday, June 20, 2014

Piecing together the shattering Middle East David Ignatius Opinion writer

Piecing together the shattering Middle East

Opinion writer

David Ignatius writes a twice-a-week foreign affairs column and contributes to the PostPartisan blog.
June 17 at 3:52 PM
Let’s look at the reality on the ground in the Middle East: Iraq and Syria are effectively partitioned along sectarian lines; Lebanon and Yemen are close to fracturing; Turkey, Egypt and Saudi Arabia survive intact but as increasingly authoritarian states. 

In the current, chaotic moment, we see two post-imperial systems collapsing at once: The state boundaries drawn by the Versailles Treaty in 1919 to replace the Ottoman Empire can’t hold the fractious peoples together. And a U.S.-led system that kept the region in a rough balance has been shattered by America’s failed intervention in Iraq.
The “line in the sand,” as author James Barr called the 1916 Sykes-Picot agreement to partition the region, is dissolving before our eyes, and the primary beneficiaries are ruthless Islamic terrorists. These Sunni extremists (and their Shiite counterparts in Hezbollah) are the beneficiaries of the sectarian war that has been financed and encouraged by Saudi Arabia and Iran. 

This is reality, June 2014.
Reading today’s news, it’s haunting to recall a November 1914 dispatch by the U.S. consul general in Beirut, quoted by Scott Anderson in “Lawrence in Arabia,” his vivid book about a similar time of unraveling, “Sir: I have the honor to report that conditions are going from bad to worse here.”

Iraqi Shiite tribesmen brandish their weapons as they gather to show their willingness to join Iraqi security forces in the fight against Jihadist militants who have taken over several northern Iraqi cities.. (Haidar Hamdani/AFP/Getty Images)
Here’s the new map: Iraq has splintered into a Sunni north and west; a Kurdish northeast; and a Shiite south that, with Iranian help, retains Baghdad; Syria is a patchwork, with an Alawite-dominated corridor from Damascus to Latakia on the Mediterranean coast; Druze and Kurdish minorities have mini-cantons, but much of the rest of the country is held by fighters from the Sunni majority. These pieces won’t be put back together anytime soon. 

What can the dominant powers do about this mess? Should they try to shore up the post-Ottoman world and redraw those lines in the sand? Should they instead let the nations dissolve into their ethnic cantons (or “vilayets,” as the Ottomans called them)? Should they create a new coalition (dubbed the Counterterrorism Partnerships Fund by President Obama in his speech at West Point last month) to fight the al-Qaeda-inspired fighters who threaten terrorism outside the zone of disintegration?
History tells us that the only way to restabilize this region is to gather the essential players around a table and begin framing a new security architecture. The participants would include Saudi Arabia and Iran, joined by the United States and the other permanent members of the U.N. Security Council: Russia, China, Britain and France. Turkey and Egypt should attend, too, since they have big militaries that could play a stabilizing role. 

Henry Kissinger described a model for the statecraft I have in mind. In his 1957 book “A World Restored,” he recounted the diplomacy that reconstructed a stable Europe at the Congress of Vienna in 1815, following the ruinous Napoleonic Wars that capped the French Revolution. The statesmen’s task, argued Kissinger, was to reconcile the rising powers of the day (back then, France and Prussia; in contemporary terms, Iran and its proxies) with the status quo powers (in 1815, Britain and Austro-Hungary; today, the United States and Saudi Arabia). The alternative to this concert of Europe was chaos.
“Nations learn only by experience; they ‘know’ only when it is too late to act,” wrote the young Kissinger. “But statesmen must act as if their intuition were already experience, as if their aspiration were truth.”
Initially, such an action plan could probably do no more than establish cease-fire lines, aid refugees and empower Sunni moderates against the toxic power of the al-Qaeda offshoot known as the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria. The aim would be to exclude ISIS, not enfranchise it. Those goals are shared by all the regional and global powers. Russia and China (with their Chechen and Uighur Muslim populations) have as great an interest in stopping the super-violent extremists as does the United States. The aging monarchy in Saudi Arabia should want to roll back ISIS as much as Iran does. 

We can’t know now whether the post-1919 borders will survive in this new order, or how the different ethnic minorities can be accommodated. The breakup of Yugoslavia shows that ethnic decentralization is possible, but also the potential cost in blood.
The discussions might start with a divisive issue that was on the agenda at Versailles: Should the Kurds have an independent state of their own, or can they be loosely integrated with Syria, Iraq, Turkey and Iran? Nobody knows the answer yet. That’s what crisis conferences are for.

Thursday, June 5, 2014

فؤاد دعبول في جريدة الانوار بتاريخ 6-6-2014

فؤاد دعبول  في جريدة الانوار بتاريخ 6-6-2014

خطوة بين مختلفين!!
الأميركان يعرفون ما يريدون.
إلاّ أن يمثلهم في لبنان، يتخاطفه روّاد المنافع والمصالح.
لغاية في نفس يعقوب يفعلون ذلك!
ربما خدمة لأهوائهم.
وأحياناً لقطف الشهرة ليس أكثر.
من أجل ذلك، قطع السيد جون كيري جولة الرئيس الأميركي باراك أوباما، وعرج على بيروت.
أربع، أو خمس ساعات أمضاها وزير الخارجية الأميركي بين عين التينة والسراي الحكومية.
وغادر للالتحاق بمهمته، بعد لقاء كاردينال لبنان.
عتب عليه الكبار والصغار لأنه أدلى بمواقف غير متطابقة.
إلاّ أن التطابق الأهم في أقواله، هو ان بلاد العم سام، لا مرشح عندها للرئاسة، وليست ضد أحد أو مع أحد!!
شكراً للأميركان لأنهم يريدون الاستحقاق بسرعة.
إلاّ أنهم مع مستحق غامض الهوية الى حين.
لكنهم يستدركون بأنهم مع رئيس قوي، ولا فيتو عندهم ضد أحد.
غطّ السيد كيري في بيروت وطار.
والشغور في المقر الرئاسي الأول، هو البديل من الفراغ.
إلاّ أن الأميركان، عندهم الآن مشكلة أكبر، من الترادف بين الشغور والفراغ.
وقريباً يودّع الرئيس أوباما البيت الأبيض ويبدأ الديمقراطيون معركتهم مع الجمهوريين لايصال السيدة هيلاري كلينتون الى الرئاسة الأولى.

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طبعاً أمامهم معركة صعبة.
والسيد كيري قد لا يعود الى منصبه، مع وزيرة الخارجية الأميركية، الاولى في عهد الرئيس أوباما.
إلاّ أن الجمهوريين هدفهم، استعادة المنصب الذي شغله الجنرال ايزنهاور، والذي شغله بعده نائبه ريتشارد نيكسون، وأودت به فضيحة ووترغيت.
... وانتزعه لاحقاً الديمقراطي جيمي كارتر وزوج الست هيلاري بيل كلينتون.
المتاعب الأميركية كبيرة.
والمصاعب اللبنانية جليلة.
وعندما حطّ مستر كيري في بيروت لم يأخذ راحته عند الرئيس بري، كما أخذها عند الرئيس تمام سلام.
ذلك ان الأستاذ استضاف قبيل وصوله، الرئيس العماد ميشال عون، الى غداء عمل، بحضور نائبه السابق ايلي الفرزلي.
منذ ربع قرن كان بري يتّكئ على جهود النائب السابق لرئيس مجلس النواب، الذي كان يخلق له مناخات حوارية صعبة، مع رهبان الطائفة المارونية.
والصعب يصبح سهلاً عند أرباب العقول والذكاء، وطبعاً، فان العلائق بين رئيس المجلس ورئيس التيار الوطني الحر ليست سهلة.
بيد أن الخلاف بين بري وعون أشدّ مضاضة وصعوبة، من التفاهم بين زعيم المستقبل وقائد التيار.
والمصارحة بين الأقوياء، أصعب من المصالحة وأدهى.
إلاّ أن ما فعله الرئيس الفرزلي، كان خطوة تفاهم بين مختلفين في الاداء كما في الأسلوب.
والحوار اللبناني، جدير بالاهتمام، لأن الكبار يتحاورون ولا يتباعدون.
وهذه مهمة لا يقوم بها وينجح إلاّ الناجحون!!
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Thursday, May 29, 2014

Remarks of President Barack Obama Graduation Ceremony West Point, New York


The White House
Office of the Press Secretary
For Immediate Release
Remarks of President Barack Obama Graduation Ceremony West Point, New York
Graduation Ceremony
West Point, New York

May 28, 2014
As Prepared for Delivery –

Good morning. Thank you, General Caslen, for that introduction. To General Trainor, General Clarke, and the faculty and staff at West Point – you have been outstanding stewards of this proud institution, and excellent mentors for the newest officers in the United States Army. I’d like to acknowledge the Army’s leadership – Secretary McHugh and General Odierno, as well as Senator Jack Reed – a proud graduate of West Point himself.
To the class of 2014, I congratulate you on taking your place on the Long Gray Line. Among you is the first all-female command team: Erin Mauldin and Austen Boroff. In Calla Glavin, you have a Rhodes Scholar, and Josh Herbeck proves that West Point accuracy extends beyond the three point line. To the entire class, let me reassure you in these final hours at West Point: as Commander-in-Chief, I hereby absolve all cadets who are on restriction for minor conduct offenses. Let me just say that nobody ever did that for me when I was in school.
I know you join me in extending a word of thanks to your families. Joe DeMoss, whose son James is graduating, spoke for many parents when he wrote me a letter about the sacrifices you have made. “Deep inside,” he wrote, “we want to explode with pride at what they are committing to do in the service of our country.” Like several graduates, James is a combat veteran. And I would like to ask all of us here today to stand and pay tribute – not only to the veterans among us, but to the more than 2.5 million Americans who have served in Iraq and Afghanistan, and their families.
It is a particularly useful time for America to reflect on those who have sacrificed so much for our freedom – for you are the first class to graduate since 9/11 who may not be sent into combat in Iraq or Afghanistan. When I first spoke at West Point in 2009, we still had more than 100,000 troops in Iraq. We were preparing to surge in Afghanistan. Our counter-terrorism efforts were focused on al Qaeda’s core leadership. And our nation was just beginning a long climb out of the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression.
Four and a half years later, the landscape has changed. We have removed our troops from Iraq. We are winding down our war in Afghanistan. Al Qaeda’s leadership in the border region between Pakistan and Afghanistan has been decimated, and Osama bin Laden is no more. Through it all, we have refocused our investments in a key source of American strength: a growing economy that can provide opportunity here at home.
In fact, by most measures, America has rarely been stronger relative to the rest of the world. Those who argue otherwise – who suggest that America is in decline, or has seen its global leadership slip away – are either misreading history or engaged in partisan politics. Think about it. Our military has no peer. The odds of a direct threat against us by any nation are low, and do not come close to the dangers we faced during the Cold War.
Meanwhile, our economy remains the most dynamic on Earth; our businesses the most innovative. Each year, we grow more energy independent. From Europe to Asia, we are the hub of alliances unrivalled in the history of nations. America continues to attract striving immigrants. The values of our founding inspire leaders in parliaments and new movements in public squares around the globe. And when a typhoon hits the Philippines, or girls are kidnapped in Nigeria, or masked men occupy a building in Ukraine – it is America that the world looks to for help. The United States is the one indispensable nation. That has been true for the century passed, and will likely be true for the century to come.
But the world is changing with accelerating speed. This presents opportunity, but also new dangers. We know all too well, after 9/11, just how technology and globalization has put power once reserved for states in the hands of the individual, raising the capacity of terrorists to do harm. Russia’s aggression toward former Soviet states unnerves capitals in Europe, while China’s economic rise and military reach worries its neighbors. From Brazil to India, rising middle classes compete with our own, and governments seek a greater say in global forums. And even as developing nations embrace democracy and market economies, 24 hours news and pervasive social media makes it impossible to ignore sectarian conflicts, failing states and popular uprisings that might have received only passing notice a generation ago.
It will be your generation’s task to respond to this new world. The question we face – the question you will face – is not whether America will lead, but how we will lead, not just to secure our peace and prosperity, but also to extend peace and prosperity around the globe.
This question isn’t new. At least since George Washington served as Commander-in-Chief, there have been those who warned against foreign entanglements that do not touch directly on our security or economic well-being. Today, according to self-described realists, conflicts in Syria or Ukraine or the Central African Republic are not ours to solve. Not surprisingly, after costly wars and continuing challenges at home, that view is shared by many Americans.
A different view, from interventionists on the left and right, says we ignore these conflicts at our own peril; that America’s willingness to apply force around the world is the ultimate safeguard against chaos, and America’s failure to act in the face of Syrian brutality or Russian provocations not only violates our conscience, but invites escalating aggression in the future.
Each side can point to history to support its claims. But I believe neither view fully speaks to the demands of this moment. It is absolutely true that in the 21st century, American isolationism is not an option. If nuclear materials are not secure, that could pose a danger in American cities. As the Syrian civil war spills across borders, the capacity of battle-hardened groups to come after us increases. Regional aggression that goes unchecked – in southern Ukraine, the South China Sea, or anywhere else in the world – will ultimately impact our allies, and could draw in our military.
Beyond these narrow rationales, I believe we have a real stake – an abiding self-interest – in making sure our children grow up in a world where school-girls are not kidnapped; where  individuals aren’t slaughtered because of tribe or faith or political beliefs. I believe that a world of greater freedom and tolerance is not only a moral imperative – it also helps keep us safe.
But to say that we have an interest in pursuing peace and freedom beyond our borders is not to say that every problem has a military solution. Since World War II, some of our most costly mistakes came not from our restraint, but from our willingness to rush into military adventures – without thinking through the consequences; without building international support and legitimacy for our action, or leveling with the American people about the sacrifice required. Tough talk draws headlines, but war rarely conforms to slogans. As General Eisenhower, someone with hard-earned knowledge on this subject, said at this ceremony in 1947: “War is mankind’s most tragic and stupid folly; to seek or advise its deliberate provocation is a black crime against all men.”
Like Eisenhower, this generation of men and women in uniform know all too well the wages of war. That includes those of you at West Point. Four of the service-members who stood in the audience when I announced the surge of our forces in Afghanistan gave their lives in that effort. More were wounded. I believe America’s security demanded those deployments. But I am haunted by those deaths. I am haunted by those wounds. And I would betray my duty to you, and to the country we love, if I sent you into harm’s way simply because I saw a problem somewhere in the world that needed fixing, or because I was worried about critics who think military intervention is the only way for America to avoid looking weak.
Here’s my bottom line: America must always lead on the world stage. If we don’t, no one else will. The military that you have joined is, and always will be, the backbone of that leadership. But U.S. military action cannot be the only – or even primary – component of our leadership in every instance. Just because we have the best hammer does not mean that every problem is a nail. And because the costs associated with military action are so high, you should expect every civilian leader – and especially your Commander-in-Chief – to be clear about how that awesome power should be used.
Let me spend the rest of my time, then, describing my vision for how the United States of America, and our military, should lead in the years to come.
First, let me repeat a principle I put forward at the outset of my presidency: the United States will use military force, unilaterally if necessary, when our core interests demand it – when our people are threatened; when our livelihood is at stake; or when the security of our allies is in danger. In these circumstances, we still need to ask tough questions about whether our action is proportional, effective and just. International opinion matters. But America should never ask permission to protect our people, our homeland, or our way of life.
On the other hand, when issues of global concern that do not pose a direct threat to the United States are at stake – when crises arise that stir our conscience or push the world in a more dangerous direction – then the threshold for military action must be higher. In such circumstances, we should not go it alone. Instead, we must mobilize allies and partners to take collective action. We must broaden our tools to include diplomacy and development; sanctions and isolation; appeals to international law and – if just, necessary, and effective – multilateral military action. We must do so because collective action in these circumstances is more likely to succeed, more likely to be sustained, and less likely to lead to costly mistakes.
This leads to my second point: for the foreseeable future, the most direct threat to America at home and abroad remains terrorism. But a strategy that involves invading every country that harbors terrorist networks is naïve and unsustainable. I believe we must shift our counter-terrorism strategy – drawing on the successes and shortcomings of our experience in Iraq and Afghanistan – to more effectively partner with countries where terrorist networks seek a foothold.
This reflects the fact that today’s principal threat no longer comes from a centralized al Qaeda leadership. Instead, it comes from decentralized al Qaeda affiliates and extremists, many with agendas focused in the countries where they operate. This lessens the possibility of large-scale 9/11-style attacks against the homeland, but heightens the danger to U.S. personnel overseas, as we saw in Benghazi; or less defensible targets, as we saw in a shopping mall in Nairobi. We need a strategy that matches this diffuse threat; one that expands our reach without sending forces that stretch our military thin, or stir up local resentments.
Empowering partners is a large part of what we’ve done in Afghanistan. Together with our allies, America struck huge blows against al Qaeda core, and pushed back against an insurgency that threatened to overrun the country. But sustaining this progress depends on the ability of Afghans to do the job. That’s why we trained hundreds of thousands of Afghan soldiers and police. Earlier this spring, those forces secured an election in which Afghans voted for the first democratic transfer of power in their history. At the end of this year, a new Afghan President will be in office, and America’s combat mission will be over.
Now, as we move to a train and advise mission in Afghanistan, our reduced presence there will allow us to more effectively address emerging threats in the Middle East and North Africa. Earlier this year, I asked my national security team to develop a plan for a network of partnerships from South Asia to the Sahel. Today, as part of this effort, I am calling on Congress to support a new Counter-Terrorism Partnerships Fund of up to $5 billion, which will allow us to train, build capacity, and facilitate partner countries on the front lines. These resources will give us flexibility to fulfill different missions, including training security forces in Yemen who have gone on the offensive against al Qaeda; supporting a multinational force to keep the peace in Somalia; working with European allies to train a functioning security force and border patrol in Libya; and facilitating French operations in Mali.
A critical focus of this effort will be the ongoing crisis in Syria. As frustrating as it is, there are no easy answers – no military solution that can eliminate the terrible suffering anytime soon. As President, I made a decision that we should not put American troops into the middle of this increasingly sectarian civil war, and I believe that is the right decision. But that does not mean we shouldn’t help the Syrian people stand up against a dictator who bombs and starves his people. And in helping those who fight for the right of all Syrians to choose their own future, we also push back against the growing number of extremists who find safe-haven in the chaos.
With the additional resources I’m announcing today, we will step up our efforts to support Syria’s neighbors – Jordan and Lebanon; Turkey and Iraq – as they host refugees, and confront terrorists working across Syrian borders. I will work with Congress to ramp up support for those in the Syrian opposition who offer the best alternative to terrorists and a brutal dictator. And we will continue to coordinate with our friends and allies in Europe and the Arab World – to push for a political resolution of this crisis, and make sure that those countries, and not just the United States, are contributing their fair share of support to the Syrian people.
Let me make one final point about our efforts against terrorism. The partnership I’ve described does not eliminate the need to take direct action when necessary to protect ourselves. When we have actionable intelligence, that’s what we do – through capture operations, like the one that brought a terrorist involved in the plot to bomb our Embassies in 1998 to face justice; or drone strikes, like those we have carried out in Yemen and Somalia. But as I said last year, in taking direct action, we must uphold standards that reflect our values. That means taking strikes only when we face a continuing, imminent threat, and only where there is near certainty of no civilian casualties. For our actions should meet a simple test: we must not create more enemies than we take off the battlefield.
I also believe we be more transparent about both the basis for our actions, and the manner in which they are carried out – whether it is drone strikes, or training partners. I will increasingly turn to our military to take the lead and provide information to the public about our efforts. Our intelligence community has done outstanding work and we must continue to protect sources and methods. But, when we cannot explain our efforts clearly and publicly, we face terrorist propaganda and international suspicion; we erode legitimacy with our partners and our people; and we reduce accountability in our own government.
This issue of transparency is directly relevant to a third aspect of American leadership: our efforts to strengthen and enforce international order.
After World War II, America had the wisdom to shape institutions to keep the peace and support human progress – from NATO and the United Nations, to the World Bank and IMF. Though imperfect, these institutions have been a force multiplier – reducing the need for unilateral American action, and increased restraint among other nations. But just as the world has changed, this architecture must change as well. At the height of the Cold War, President Kennedy spoke about the need for a peace based upon, “a gradual evolution in human institutions.” Evolving these institutions to meet the demands of today must be a critical part of American leadership.
Of course, skeptics often downplay the effectiveness of multilateral action. For them, working through international institutions, or respecting international law, is a sign of weakness. I think they’re wrong. Let me offer just two examples why.
In Ukraine, Russia’s recent actions recall the days when Soviet tanks rolled into Eastern Europe. But this isn’t the Cold War. Our ability to shape world opinion helped isolate Russia right away. Because of American leadership, the world immediately condemned Russian actions. Europe and the G-7 joined with us to impose sanctions. NATO reinforced our commitment to Eastern European allies. The IMF is helping to stabilize Ukraine’s economy. OSCE monitors brought the eyes of the world to unstable parts of Ukraine. This mobilization of world opinion and institutions served as a counterweight to Russian propaganda, Russian troops on the border, and armed militias. This weekend, Ukrainians voted by the millions; yesterday, I spoke to their next President. We don’t know how the situation will play out, and there will be grave challenges. But standing with our allies on behalf of international order has given a chance for the Ukrainian people to choose their future.
Similarly, despite frequent warnings from the United States, Israel, and others, the Iranian nuclear program steadily advanced for years. But at the beginning of my presidency, we built a coalition that imposed sanctions on the Iranian economy, while extending the hand of diplomacy to the Iranian government. Now, we have an opportunity to resolve our differences peacefully. The odds of success are still long, and we reserve all options to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon. But for the first time in a decade, we have a very real chance of achieving a breakthrough agreement – one that is more effective and durable than what would be achieved through the use of force. And throughout these negotiations, it has been our willingness to work through multilateral channels that kept the world on our side.
This is American leadership. This is American strength. In each case, we built coalitions to respond to a specific challenge. Now we need to do more to strengthen the institutions that can anticipate and prevent them from spreading. For example, NATO is the strongest alliance the world has ever known. But we are now working with NATO allies to meet new missions – within Europe, where our Eastern allies must be reassured; and also beyond Europe’s borders, where our NATO allies must pull their weight to counter-terrorism, respond to failed states, and train a network of partners.
Likewise, the UN provides a platform to keep the peace in states torn apart by conflict. Now we need to make sure that those nations who provide peace-keepers have the training and equipment to keep the peace, so that we can prevent the type of killing we have seen in Congo and Sudan. We are deepening our investment in countries that support these missions. Because having other nations maintain order in their own neighborhoods lessens the need for us to put our own troops in harm’s way. It is a smart investment. It’s the right way to lead.
Keep in mind, not all international norms relate directly to armed conflict. In the face of cyber-attacks, we are working to shape and enforce rules of the road to secure our networks and citizens. In the Asia Pacific, we are supporting Southeast Asian nations as they negotiate a code of conduct with China on the South China Sea, and are working to resolve territorial and maritime disputes through international law. That spirit of cooperation must energize the global effort to combat climate change – a creeping national security crisis that will help shape your time in uniform, as we’re called on to respond to refugee flows, natural disasters, and conflicts over water and food. That’s why, next year, I intend to make sure America is out front in a global framework to preserve our planet.
You see, American influence is always stronger when we lead by example. We cannot exempt ourselves from the rules that apply to everyone else. We can’t call on others to make commitments to combat climate change if so many of our political leaders deny that it is taking place.  It’s a lot harder to call on China to resolve its maritime disputes under the Law of the Sea Convention when the United States Senate has refused to ratify it – despite the repeated insistence of our top military leaders that the treaty advances our national security. That’s not leadership; that’s retreat. That’s not strength; that’s weakness. And it would be utterly foreign to leaders like Roosevelt and Truman; Eisenhower and Kennedy.
I believe in American exceptionalism with every fiber of my being. But what makes us exceptional is not our ability to flout international norms and the rule of law; it’s our willingness to affirm them through our actions. That’s why I will continue to push to close GTMO – because American values and legal traditions don’t permit the indefinite detention of people beyond our borders. That’s why we are putting in place new restrictions on how America collects and uses intelligence – because we will have fewer partners and be less effective if a perception takes hold that we are conducting surveillance against ordinary citizens. America does not simply stand for stability, or the absence of conflict, no matter what the price; we stand for the more lasting peace that can only come through opportunity and freedom for people everywhere.
Which brings me to the fourth and final element of American leadership: our willingness to act on behalf of human dignity. America’s support for democracy and human rights goes beyond idealism – it’s a matter of national security. Democracies are our closest friends, and are far less likely to go to war. Free and open economies perform better, and become markets for our goods. Respect for human rights is an antidote to instability, and the grievances that fuel violence and terror.
A new century has brought no end to tyranny. In capitals around the globe – including some of America’s partners – there has been a crackdown on civil society. The cancer of corruption has enriched too many governments and their cronies, and enraged citizens from remote villages to iconic squares. Watching these trends, or the violent upheaval in parts of the Arab World, it is easy to be cynical.
But remember that because of America’s efforts – through diplomacy and foreign assistance, as well as the sacrifices of our military – more people live under elected governments today than any time in human history. Technology is empowering civil society in ways that no iron fist can control. New breakthroughs are lifting hundreds of millions out of poverty. And even the upheaval of the Arab World reflects the rejection of an authoritarian order that was anything but stable, and offers the long-term prospect of more responsive and effective governance.
In Egypt, we acknowledge that our relationship is anchored in security interests – from the peace treaty with Israel, to shared efforts against violent extremism. So we have not cut off cooperation with the new government. But we can and will persistently press for the reforms that the Egyptian people have demanded.
Meanwhile, look at a country like Burma, which only a few years ago was an intractable dictatorship, hostile to the United States. Thanks to the enormous courage of the people in that country – and because we took the diplomatic initiative – we have seen political reforms opening a once closed society; a movement away from partnership with North Korea in favor of engagement with America and our allies. We are now supporting reform – and badly needed national reconciliation – through assistance and investment; coaxing and, at times, public criticism. Progress could be reversed. But if Burma succeeds, we will have gained a new partner without having fired a shot.
In all these cases, we should not expect change to happen overnight. That’s why we form alliances – not only with governments, but with ordinary people. For unlike other nations, America is not afraid of individual empowerment, we are strengthened by it – by civil society and transparency; by striving entrepreneurs and small businesses; by educational exchange and opportunity for women and girls. That’s who we are. That’s what we represent.
I saw that throughout my trip to Africa last year. American assistance has made possible the prospect of an AIDS-free generation, while helping Africans care for their sick. We are helping farmers get their products to market, and feeding populations once endangered by famine. We aim to double access to electricity in sub-Saharan Africa, so people are connected to the promise of the global economy.
All this creates new partners and shrinks the space for terrorism. Tragically, no American security operation can eradicate the threat posed by an extremist group like Boko Haram. That is why we must focus both on rescuing those girls, but also on supporting Nigerian efforts to educate its youth. Indeed, this should be one of the hard-earned lessons of Iraq and Afghanistan, where our military became the strongest advocate for diplomacy and development. Foreign assistance isn’t an afterthought – something nice to do apart from our national defense. It’s part of what makes us strong.
Ultimately, global leadership requires us to see the world as it is, with all its danger and uncertainty. But American leadership also requires us to see the world as it should be – a place where the aspirations of individual human beings matter; where hopes and not just fears govern; where the truths written into our founding documents can steer the currents of history in the direction of justice. And we cannot do that without you.
Graduates, you have taken this time to prepare on the quiet banks of the Hudson. You leave this place to carry forward a legacy that no other military in human history can claim. And you do so as part of a team that extends beyond your units or even our Armed Forces. In the course of your service, you will work as a team with diplomats and development experts. You will get to know allies and train partners. You will embody what it means for America to lead.
Next week, I will go to Normandy to honor the men who stormed the beaches. And while it is hard for many Americans to comprehend the courage and sense of duty that guided those who boarded small ships, it is familiar to you. At West Point, you define what it means to be a patriot.
Three years ago, Gavin White graduated from this Academy. He then served in Afghanistan. Like the soldiers who came before him, he was in a foreign land, helping people he’d never met, putting himself in harm’s way for the sake of his people back home. Gavin lost one of his legs in an attack. I met him last year at Walter Reed. He was wounded, but just as determined as the day that he arrived here. He developed a simple goal. Today, his sister Morgan will graduate. And true to his promise, Gavin will be there to stand and exchange salutes with her.
We have been through a long season of war. We have faced trials that were not foreseen, and divisions about how to move forward. But there is something in Gavin’s character, and America’s character, that will always triumph. Leaving here, you carry with you the respect of your fellow citizens. You will represent a nation with history and hope on our side. Your charge, now, is not only to protect our country, but to do what is right and just. As your Commander-in-Chief, I know you will. May God bless you. May God bless our men and women in uniform. And may God bless the United States of America.



Wednesday, May 28, 2014

البابا وأيامه الثلاثة في القدس: خطوات مدروسة.. ومثيرة للجدل!


البابا وأيامه الثلاثة في القدس: خطوات مدروسة.. ومثيرة للجدل!
غراسيا بيطار - 28/05/2014 - 02:08:44
البابا يتحدث الى الصحافيين على متن الطائرة التي اقلته عائدا الى الفاتيكان امس الاول (ا ب)
عاد البابا فرنسيس إلى روما بعدما كتب في سجله البابوي «ثلاثة أيام في القدس». لا أحد يعرف ما كتبه في يومياته، لكن تحركاته في فلسطين المحتلة كانت مدروسة بقدر ما كانت مثيرة للجدل.
إنه البابا الثالث الذي يزور إسرائيل منذ اعتراف الفاتيكان بالكيان الإسرائيلي في العام 1993 في عهد البابا المعلنة قداسته الشهر الماضي يوحنا بولس الثاني.
تمايزه عن أسلافه بدأ منذ الوصول. فقد اختار العبور إلى فلسطين عبر الأردن، وليس مباشرة الى مطار بن غوريون في تل أبيب. سجل وقفة رمزية أمام جدار الفصل العنصري وشارك في تكريم أطفال مخيم الدهيشة الفلسطيني. سريعاً وازن، فوقف أمام «نصب ضحايا الإرهاب» بحسب التسمية الاسرائيلية. وفي سابقة بابوية، وضع إكليلا من الزهر على قبر «أب الصهاينة» تيودور هيرتزل. وفي كل خطاباته، تكررت عبارات السلام والمحبة وان لاحظ كثيرون الغياب التام لكلمة «فلسطين» في خطاباته من قلب فلسطين. ليختتم زيارته المتداخل فيها الديني والسياسي، بدعوة كل من محمود عباس وشمعون بيريز للقاء في روما. مستدركا: «للصلاة».
في محطات الزيارة لـ«حقل الألغام» على ما وصفتها صحيفة «هآرتس» الإسرائيلية، يرى الكاتب غسان الشامي أن «كل خطوة قام بها في فلسطين كانت مدروسة ولم يكن هناك أي شيء عفوي أو تلقائي». الحبر الأعظم، برأيه، ساوى بين الجلاد والضحية في محاولته لخلق توازن ما لكنه في النهاية فشل في إرضاء الاثنين معا».
نائب رئيس مجلس النواب السابق إيلي الفرزلي يبرر للبابا عدم ذكر فلسطين في زيارته: «إذا كان صحيحاً أن البابا لم يذكر اسم فلسطين فهذه مسألة غير مقصودة بالتأكيد، لأن موقف الفاتيكان معروف حيال مسألة حل الدولتين وقد كررها في أكثر من مناسبة. الفاتيكان، برأيه، لا يعيش منطقنا نحن فهو ليس في حالة حرب مع إسرائيل».
ويذهب الفرزلي الى أبعد من ذلك: «يمضي الفاتيكان منذ إرساء العلاقات الديبلوماسية مع اسرائيل في محاولة إلغاء كل أثر لعلاقات تاريخية سلبية مع اليهود».
ومثل هذه الآثار تبدت في النقاش الذي كاد أن يتحول صدامياً بين الحبر الأعظم ورئيس الوزراء الإسرائيلي بنيامين نتنياهو، عندما قال له الأخير إن «السيد المسيح تكلم العبرية». فصحح له البابا: «وإنما نطق بالآرامية».
وتقتضي عملية «تنظيف التاريخ» هذه بلورة تسوية عبر محو آثار لدى الجانبين، سواء ما يتعلق بقبول البابا فرنسيس إعادة فتح الارشيف الفاتيكاني للتوقف مجددا عند موقف الكنيسة من المحرقة النازية في الحرب العالمية الثانية أو في التصرف الصهيوني تجاه استهداف الكنيسة في أميركا والذي أدى الى استقالة كاردينال بوسطن. «وما في توقف البابا أمام جدار الفصل العنصري، برأي الفرزلي، إلا التركيز على هذه الحالة الشاذة من دون أن ننسى أن مسؤولين أميركيين سابقين كانوا قد نكروا وجوده من الأساس».
الزيارة التي قد تحمل أكثر من محطة جدلية تندرج ضمن سياسية الفاتيكان التي تبعث على الالتباس. «وكأن الفاتيكان، على ما يرى الاب جورج مسوح، يريد السلام بأي ثمن، وهذا السلام لا يعيد الحق الى أصحابه ويطيح حق العودة واللاجئين برغم من الموقف الرمزي الذي عبر عنه أمام جدار العار». ينسحب هذا الالتباس، برأيه، على دعوة البابا الجانبين الفلسطيني والاسرائيلي للقاء في روما: «فالمسألة ليست لقاءات بقدر ما هي إزالة المستوطنات الاسرائيلية والانتهاكات اليومية والحاجة الى إدانة بابوية واضحة في هذا الإطار».
ولأن البابا رئيس دولة يزور «دولة» اسرائيل، تصبح المتابعة أولوية لما يمكن أن يُصرف في بنك السياسة. فزيارة البابا إلى «مركز الفنيق» بالقرب من مخيم الدهيشة للاجئين الفلسطينيين في رام الله، يضعها الاب مسوح في خانة «شخصيته المحبة لتفقد السجناء والفقراء والمرضى والمنبوذين، وكإنسان يتعاطف ويصلي ولكن لا نتيجة لها في السياسة على الأرض ولا تحدث بالتالي أي خرق على المستوى السياسي ولا على مستوى التفاوض بين الجانبين».
ويتابع: «ما دامت لا تخدم القضية الفلسطينية فهذا يعني انها لا تساهم سوى في تعزيز العلاقات بين الفاتيكان واسرائيل عبر تبييض صفحة المسؤولين الاسرائيليين على حساب الحق الفلسطيني»، لافتاً الى ان «الحق علينا نحن العرب كوننا نتهاون في حقوقنا لان الفاتيكان منذ إصداره سينودس الشرق الاوسط بدأ وهج القضية الفلسطينية يخف في الوجدان الفاتيكاني».
في مزيج الديني - سياسي للزيارة ايضا. كان لافتا للانتباه التقارب الذي سجله بابا الفاتيكان مع بطريرك القسطنطينية المسكوني للروم الارثوذكس برتلماوس الأول، الزعيم الروحي لـ250 مليون أرثوذكسي. انه البطريرك المتقدم بين بطاركة الارثوذكس في العالم. يشرح الاب مسوح انه بعد انهيار الاتحاد السوفياتي ساند الفاتيكان الإرساليات الكاثوليكية، ما اعتبره الارثوذكس آنذاك «اقتناصا». فنشأت مذاك القطيعة بينهما، وسرعان ما فككت عقدها المفاوضات «من أجل وحدة الكنائس».
لكن الفتور بقي على مستوى الرأس الذي تبدد بدوره خلال زيارة البابا. لكن القطيعة الكبيرة تبقى بين الفاتيكان وكنيسة موسكو. في «تبديد الفتور» بين الفاتيكان والكنيسة الارثوذكسية، يرى الفرزلي «طمأنة بابوية لليونان لجهة دوره المحتمل عبر الكنيسة المارونية في استنهاض دور كنيسة القيامة». ففي الزيارة البابوية التي شملت مشاركة بطريرك الموارنة بشارة الراعي، يقرأ الفرزلي رسالة مسيحية مشرقية واضحة. فيلفت الى المخطط المتواصل في إفراغ الشرق من مسيحييه وصولا الى واقع مفاده أن «مكة للمسلمين والفاتيكان للمسيحيين والقدس لليهود، ومن هنا الحرص البابوي على وجوب إبراز دور الكنيسة الانطاكية المشرقية التابعة للفاتيكان عبر منحها حق الولاية على كنيسة القيامة بطريقة تكاملية مع الكنائس الاخرى».